I haven’t written in a while so thought it was time to update following some developments regarding Brexit.

First, a comment made by by Noel Gallagher, singer, songwriter & musician from the band Oasis to the Manchester Evening News:

“There’s only one f***ing thing worse than a fool who voted for Brexit.  That’s the rise of the c*** trying to get the vote overturned”.

Certainly, the subject of Brexit is a very emotive and divisive topic.

Moving on, I predicted in May 2019 that pressure would increase on British PM Theresa May so much so that a second referendum or “People’s vote” would be called.   Although pressure increased on Theresa May, events have occured differently and instead she felt the need to resign.  Following a leadership vote within the Conservative Party the United Kingdom now has a new Prime Minister, Boris Johnson who says he will deliver Brexit on October 31st 2019.

Johnson speaks defiantly that a ‘no deal’ scenario is the government’s default position and Brexit will be achieved, yet, regrettably, so many politicians do not fulfil the promises they make when coming to power.  If Brexit does happen we also do not know yet whether it will be ‘hard’ (changes to Immigration Rules and leaving the Customs Union) or ‘soft’ (with superficial changes made only).  My opinion remains that a soft Brexit will take place regardless of whether a deal is made or not.

If a deal is made I expect to see Boris Johnson praised whilst if a ‘no deal’ does happen then I expect any negative consequences to be used to influence public opinion for a deal to be made.  if this occurs I expect Boris Johnson to be lauded as a saviour for turning things around.

Personally, there seems too much at stake for the financial centre in the City of London for the politicians to risk a ‘no deal’ scenario which is why I still believe a solution will be found; however I have been wrong before (like so many I never saw the 2016 Referendum result coming).

What I’m sure of is there will be more twists, turns and possible roadblocks before we reach  31st October 2019 (Halloween); which could finally be the culmination of this nightmare saga.

What do you think will happen? Will Brexit take place? If so, what type of Brexit?  Please leave any comments below.